IT sector might give cautious wage hikes this yr amid financial headwinds, AI adoption: Specialists

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Wage increments in India’s USD 250 billion IT companies sector are projected to be reasonable in fiscal yr 2025, as corporations navigate a posh panorama of worldwide financial uncertainties, evolving talent calls for, and the rising adoption of synthetic intelligence (AI), in accordance with consultants.

Corporations are being extra conservative with their wage budgets, and lots of have even pushed their appraisal cycles past the standard April-June interval, she stated, which has made wage revisions much less predictable within the present situation.(Representational Picture/Pixabay)

Business consultants predict a mean wage enhance of 4-8.5 per cent, a notable step down from earlier years, signalling a shift in direction of extra pragmatic compensation methods.

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“The outlook for salary hikes this year is quite cautious,” famous Krishna Vij, VP, TeamLease Digital. “Industry players are looking at increments in the 4 per cent to 8.5 per cent range, which is lower than what we’ve seen in previous years. This slowdown is largely due to global economic challenges, reduced discretionary spending, and shifting business priorities.”

Corporations are being extra conservative with their wage budgets, and lots of have even pushed their appraisal cycles past the standard April-June interval, she stated, which has made wage revisions much less predictable within the present situation.

“Organisations are shifting to skills-based pay, leveraging Tier II hiring for cost efficiency. Instead of salary hikes, retention bonuses, ESOPs, and project-based incentives are being implemented as compensation strategies,” Vij stated.

Reed & Willow CEO Janoo Motiani additionally gave the same anticipated hike vary, pegging it between 5-8.5 per cent.

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“The days of double-digit hikes seem behind us–at least for now. The industry is settling into a more pragmatic rhythm, with average hikes expected to hover between 5 per cent and 8.5 per cent. This aligns with the cautious optimism seen across the sector. TCS has taken the lead, announcing hikes ranging from 4-8 per cent effective April 2025, setting the tone for the rest of the industry. However, Infosys, HCLTech, Wipro, and Tech Mahindra are holding off on final announcements, likely waiting to gauge market movements in Q2 before locking in their plans,” she shared.

Whereas this would possibly look like a conservative strategy, she stated, it displays the market reality–tempered progress, the rise of AI-led efficiencies, and shifting consumer calls for are influencing how corporations allocate compensation budgets.

Cooling attrition charges have diminished the urgency for aggressive counteroffers and retention bonuses, offering corporations with extra monetary flexibility. Business-wide attrition averaged 17.7 per cent in 2024, down from 18.3 per cent the earlier yr, Motiani noticed.

The distribution of wage hikes is predicted to differ considerably throughout totally different worker ranges. In response to Adecco India, which anticipates a mean wage hike of 6-10 per cent, mid-level and senior-level staff with in-demand expertise, significantly these associated to AI, and powerful efficiency are prone to obtain bigger will increase.

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“Freshers will be under scrutiny for their competency levels and can anticipate modest adjustments in the 2-4 per cent range as they work on building their skills and demonstrating adaptability, along with a willingness to learn and collaborate with AI.

“In distinction, mid-level staff with specialised expertise, similar to in AI or cybersecurity, may even see enhance of 10-12 per cent on account of rising demand for these roles. Senior-level professionals, particularly these in management positions or area of interest technical roles, might expertise hikes of 12-15 per cent due to their strategic worth and experience in guiding AI and tech transformation efforts,” said Sunil Chemmankotil, Country Manager, Adecco India.

Specific skill sets and roles within IT are commanding higher-than-average salary increases. Roles in new technologies are particularly sought after, driven by digital transformation, GCC expansion, and talent scarcity, according to Vij.

“IT roles particularly within the in-demand areas similar to AI/ML, cybersecurity, cloud engineering, and full-stack growth are commanding higher-than-average wage enhance. Demand is pushed by digital transformation, GCC growth, and expertise shortage. Area of interest roles like DevOps, information science, and blockchain growth are additionally seeing premium hikes, particularly for skilled professionals with specialised expertise,” she stated.

Adecco India observes a shift in direction of extra agile efficiency administration, with corporations more and more adopting mid-year or quarterly opinions to align compensation extra dynamically with efficiency. Additional, corporations are prioritising upskilling and reskilling initiatives to bridge talent gaps, and staff who actively take part in studying applications may even see higher wage progress and profession development.

Non-monetary advantages like versatile work, healthcare, and wellness applications are additionally turning into essential retention instruments, particularly for corporations unable to supply top-tier wage hikes.

In response to the India Model Fairness Basis (IBEF), the IT business accounted for 7 per cent of India’s GDP, as of FY24.